2022 Housing Market Research
In April 2022, Loch Lomond and The Trossachs National Park Authority commissioned Arneil Johnston to carry out research into the operation of the housing system in the National Park to provide robust and credible housing evidence on:
- housing market operation including containment and migration analysis, house sale volumes, and prices
- housing affordability analysis including the proportion of existing households who can/cannot afford the full range of housing tenures available in the National Park
- housing pressure analysis including demand ratios, market inflation, affordability outcomes, and linkages to concentrations of second homes/short term lets
- meaningful engagement with local housing system stakeholders to explore housing system imbalances, housing market drivers, and potential interventions to address unmet housing need.
The research provides an evidence base offering the latest insights on housing affordability, house price inflation, affordable housing pressures, second homes and the operation of the short-term lettings sector. This evidence will inform policy direction within the new Local Development Plan and assist with the consideration of the requirement for introducing Short-term Let Control Areas (where evidence of housing market operation suggests that secondary letting is having a negative impact on the sustainability of communities and places). It is also anticipated that the analysis will help to inform affordable housing policy and other housing supply interventions which seek to improve housing system balance and market operation.
The study also provided an opportunity for engagement with community representatives and housing market partners to build contextual analysis of local housing system drivers and to identify and assess future planning and housing supply interventions.